I ended up referring back to this post multiple times when trying to understand the empirical data on takeoff speeds and in-particular for trying to estimate the speed of algorithmic progress independent of hardware progress.
I also was quite interested in the details here in order to understand the absolute returns to more intelligence/​compute in different domains.
One particular follow-up post I would love to see is to run the same study, but this time with material disadvantage. In-particular, I would really like to see, in both chess and go, how much material advantage AIs could make up for with greater intelligence/​compute. This one seems particularly relevant for a bunch of takeoff dynamics in my current model of the world.
I ended up referring back to this post multiple times when trying to understand the empirical data on takeoff speeds and in-particular for trying to estimate the speed of algorithmic progress independent of hardware progress.
I also was quite interested in the details here in order to understand the absolute returns to more intelligence/​compute in different domains.
One particular follow-up post I would love to see is to run the same study, but this time with material disadvantage. In-particular, I would really like to see, in both chess and go, how much material advantage AIs could make up for with greater intelligence/​compute. This one seems particularly relevant for a bunch of takeoff dynamics in my current model of the world.