It seems reasonable to me that my confidence that the mugger can do what it claims to should be inversely proportional to the discrepancy between what the mugger claims and what the mugger is willing to demonstrate. Why do you say it should be a constant factor?
What if one in ten thousands genuine super-beings is not a nice guy and refuses to demonstrate you stuff? The refusal is only linked to ability for those unable to demonstrate, or those barely able to demonstrate. If you mail world’s top mathematicians a question what is 2*3+4 , very few will write you back; you may actually get higher willingness to ‘demonstrate’ ability to multiply and add from the elementary school kids.
Agreed. Humans already implement this: if someone keeps making bigger and bigger unproven claims, eventually they get a reputation as a braggart and a liar, and their claims don’t count for anything.
It seems reasonable to me that my confidence that the mugger can do what it claims to should be inversely proportional to the discrepancy between what the mugger claims and what the mugger is willing to demonstrate. Why do you say it should be a constant factor?
What if one in ten thousands genuine super-beings is not a nice guy and refuses to demonstrate you stuff? The refusal is only linked to ability for those unable to demonstrate, or those barely able to demonstrate. If you mail world’s top mathematicians a question what is 2*3+4 , very few will write you back; you may actually get higher willingness to ‘demonstrate’ ability to multiply and add from the elementary school kids.
True. OTOH, very few of them will approach me with a “mathematician’s mugging,” either.
Agreed. Humans already implement this: if someone keeps making bigger and bigger unproven claims, eventually they get a reputation as a braggart and a liar, and their claims don’t count for anything.