I like the idea of putting GPU factories under the same kind of scrutiny as nuclear fuel, but I’m not sure the best move toward this is to link that with ideas of slow takeoff, or even with the rationalist community completely.
Two small points I don’t get are: why a ban on research rather than a ban on who’s certified to buy and rum GPUs and the like? Why do you mention biological and chemical (fields that seems not as properly secured as what IAEA does) rather than nuclear? I suspect in both cases it’s just because it’s second rank concerns that did not get your attention, but just checking in case there’s more to these points.
OK I linked the GPU factories with slow takeoff because if the current amount of compute in the wild is already X-risk because of fast takeoff, then restricting hardware won’t necessarily help.
I suggest slowing down research because its the most upstream effective technique. If the research isn’t done then its less likely a secret factory is built. No factory, no way for certification to fail, no political interference in certification.
I mentioned bio/chemical weapons just as examples of tech advances that are not cheered on, nothing else significant.
Ok now the link is clear for me thanks! and ok for « just as examples » as well. Still not sure research is the most efficient target for your purpose, but I don’t have a good model for this so that’s not telling much.
I like the idea of putting GPU factories under the same kind of scrutiny as nuclear fuel, but I’m not sure the best move toward this is to link that with ideas of slow takeoff, or even with the rationalist community completely.
Two small points I don’t get are: why a ban on research rather than a ban on who’s certified to buy and rum GPUs and the like? Why do you mention biological and chemical (fields that seems not as properly secured as what IAEA does) rather than nuclear? I suspect in both cases it’s just because it’s second rank concerns that did not get your attention, but just checking in case there’s more to these points.
OK I linked the GPU factories with slow takeoff because if the current amount of compute in the wild is already X-risk because of fast takeoff, then restricting hardware won’t necessarily help.
I suggest slowing down research because its the most upstream effective technique. If the research isn’t done then its less likely a secret factory is built. No factory, no way for certification to fail, no political interference in certification.
I mentioned bio/chemical weapons just as examples of tech advances that are not cheered on, nothing else significant.
Ok now the link is clear for me thanks! and ok for « just as examples » as well. Still not sure research is the most efficient target for your purpose, but I don’t have a good model for this so that’s not telling much.