I think this is a fair criticism, but I think it’s also partly balanced out by the fact that Claude is committed to trying to beat the game. The average person who has merely played Red probably did not beat it, yes, but also they weren’t committed to beating it. Also, Claude has pretty deep knowledge of Pokémon in its training data, making it a “hardcore gamer” both in terms of knowledge and willingness to keep playing. In that way, the reference class of gamers who put forth enough effort to beat the game is somewhat reasonable.
I mostly agree, but “the reference class of gamers who put forth enough effort to beat the game” is still necessarily truncated by omitting any who nonetheless failed to complete it, and is likely also omitting gamers embarrassed of how long it took them.
I think this is a fair criticism, but I think it’s also partly balanced out by the fact that Claude is committed to trying to beat the game. The average person who has merely played Red probably did not beat it, yes, but also they weren’t committed to beating it. Also, Claude has pretty deep knowledge of Pokémon in its training data, making it a “hardcore gamer” both in terms of knowledge and willingness to keep playing. In that way, the reference class of gamers who put forth enough effort to beat the game is somewhat reasonable.
I mostly agree, but “the reference class of gamers who put forth enough effort to beat the game” is still necessarily truncated by omitting any who nonetheless failed to complete it, and is likely also omitting gamers embarrassed of how long it took them.