Yes, there’s some circular reasoning here simply in terms of observer selection effects: “we know the offense-defense balance never changes enough to drive humans extinct or collapse human civilization, because looking back over our history for the past 600 years which have decent records, we never see ourselves going extinct or civilization collapsing to the point of not having decent records.”
Yes, there’s some circular reasoning here simply in terms of observer selection effects: “we know the offense-defense balance never changes enough to drive humans extinct or collapse human civilization, because looking back over our history for the past 600 years which have decent records, we never see ourselves going extinct or civilization collapsing to the point of not having decent records.”