Anyway, I looked through the questions, and, well, please take this as constructive criticism, but I’d have no idea about the truth of most of those statements, and they mostly seem to be fairly dry statistics. I dunno what the people who actually attended the last meeting thought, but I’d suggest maybe something more like geeky pub-quiz with probability estimates?
Statements can still be used for calibration even if you don’t know the answer, but it’s always more fun if you have at least an inkling of the answer. It’s always good to add more fun to things like this, so any chance I could convince you to bring along some of the type of questions you think would be good?
Ahh, this completely slipped my mind on the day. As it turned out, I thought the problems we tackled on the day were more interesting than I had previously assumed they would be. I had thought that questions like, I dunno, “which got better reviews, Indiana Jones and the temple or doom or Return of the Jedi” or “who had more number 1 records, the beatles or elvis” (I think its elvis, but with only 60% confidance) could be fun, perhaps intersperced with the questions about the mass of pluto.
Not sure about the equivalent for Fermi estimates.
I shall be attending (90% confidence).
Anyway, I looked through the questions, and, well, please take this as constructive criticism, but I’d have no idea about the truth of most of those statements, and they mostly seem to be fairly dry statistics. I dunno what the people who actually attended the last meeting thought, but I’d suggest maybe something more like geeky pub-quiz with probability estimates?
Statements can still be used for calibration even if you don’t know the answer, but it’s always more fun if you have at least an inkling of the answer. It’s always good to add more fun to things like this, so any chance I could convince you to bring along some of the type of questions you think would be good?
Ahh, this completely slipped my mind on the day. As it turned out, I thought the problems we tackled on the day were more interesting than I had previously assumed they would be. I had thought that questions like, I dunno, “which got better reviews, Indiana Jones and the temple or doom or Return of the Jedi” or “who had more number 1 records, the beatles or elvis” (I think its elvis, but with only 60% confidance) could be fun, perhaps intersperced with the questions about the mass of pluto.
Not sure about the equivalent for Fermi estimates.