Actually I’d say the jobs best placed for avoiding quick automations are mostly jobs in the agricultural and building sectors—i.e. low skills* physical work. In a few years some Silicon valley start-up will discover that Indian or Vietnamese or Nigerian engineers/data scientists can do the same job at a fraction of the cost… and this will have no economic impact whatsoever since basically everyone working on a computer will be made redundant by GPT-N or something (without even taking into account AGI). But the guy who put his hands inside the engine of your self-driving car is here to stay for a long time (as is the one doing the pipes in your house or even the guys plucking out strawberries in a farm).
*a lot of so-call low-skills are actually pretty challenging and require a wide variety of intellectual and physical skills. I’d recommand Shop class as soulcraft by Matthew Crawford on this subject.
Actually I’d say the jobs best placed for avoiding quick automations are mostly jobs in the agricultural and building sectors—i.e. low skills* physical work.
In a few years some Silicon valley start-up will discover that Indian or Vietnamese or Nigerian engineers/data scientists can do the same job at a fraction of the cost… and this will have no economic impact whatsoever since basically everyone working on a computer will be made redundant by GPT-N or something (without even taking into account AGI).
But the guy who put his hands inside the engine of your self-driving car is here to stay for a long time (as is the one doing the pipes in your house or even the guys plucking out strawberries in a farm).
*a lot of so-call low-skills are actually pretty challenging and require a wide variety of intellectual and physical skills. I’d recommand Shop class as soulcraft by Matthew Crawford on this subject.