Curated. I like the central thesis of this post, but a further point I like about it is it takes the conversation beyond a simple binary of “are we doomed or not?”, and “how doomed are we?” to a more interesting discussion of possible outcomes, their likelihoods, and the gears behind them. And I think that’s epistemically healthy. I think it puts things into a mode of “make predictions for reasons” over “argue for a simplified position”. Plus, this kind of attention to values and their origins is also one thing I think that hasn’t gotten as much airtime on LessWrong and is important, both in remembering what we’re fighting for (in very broad terms) and how we need to fight (i.e. what’s ok to build).
Curated. I like the central thesis of this post, but a further point I like about it is it takes the conversation beyond a simple binary of “are we doomed or not?”, and “how doomed are we?” to a more interesting discussion of possible outcomes, their likelihoods, and the gears behind them. And I think that’s epistemically healthy. I think it puts things into a mode of “make predictions for reasons” over “argue for a simplified position”. Plus, this kind of attention to values and their origins is also one thing I think that hasn’t gotten as much airtime on LessWrong and is important, both in remembering what we’re fighting for (in very broad terms) and how we need to fight (i.e. what’s ok to build).