That is awesome! They actually put out their data.
Pretty much, Krugman successfully predicted that the downturn would last a while (2-6,8,15), made some obvious statements (7,9,12,16,17,18), was questionably supported on one (11), was unfairly said to miss another (14), hit on a political prediction (10), and missed on another (13).
He was 50-50 or said nothing, except for successfully predicting that the downturn would take at least a couple of years, which wasn’t going out too far on a limb itself.
So I can’t say that I’m impressed much with the authors of the study, as their conclusions about Krugman seem like a gross distortion to me, but I am very impressed that they released their data. That was civilized.
That is awesome! They actually put out their data.
Pretty much, Krugman successfully predicted that the downturn would last a while (2-6,8,15), made some obvious statements (7,9,12,16,17,18), was questionably supported on one (11), was unfairly said to miss another (14), hit on a political prediction (10), and missed on another (13).
He was 50-50 or said nothing, except for successfully predicting that the downturn would take at least a couple of years, which wasn’t going out too far on a limb itself.
So I can’t say that I’m impressed much with the authors of the study, as their conclusions about Krugman seem like a gross distortion to me, but I am very impressed that they released their data. That was civilized.