Worse, people get marked down for making conditional predictions whose antecedent was not satisfied! And then they have the audacity to claim that they’ve discovered that making conditional predictions predicts low accuracy.
Why do you think this? Doesn’t seem true at all to me.
Looking at the spreadsheet there are many judgements left blank with the phrase “conditional not met.” They are not counted in the total number of predictions.
Why do you think this? Doesn’t seem true at all to me. Looking at the spreadsheet there are many judgements left blank with the phrase “conditional not met.” They are not counted in the total number of predictions.