For any task that one of the large AI labs (DeepMind, OpenAI, Meta) is willing to invest sufficient resources in they can obtain average level human performance using current AI techniques.
This seems to be on track for what Andrew Critch calls the “tech company singularity” which he defines as:
″ at least one tech company will have developed sufficiently general-purpose and human-usable AI that, if they chose to try (i.e., if their CEO and Board agreed to direct the company to try), they could become a world leader in essentially any industry sector using about a year of effort (counting from the moment in which the choice to try is made)”
This seems to be on track for what Andrew Critch calls the “tech company singularity” which he defines as:
His estimate for this according to the last public update I saw was 2027-2033.