Daniel Kahneman notes that if sperm are randomized, the chance of Hitler, Stalin, and Mao all being born boys is 1⁄8. Re-run the 20th century with any of them being female and you get vastly different results. That thought experiment makes me suspect our intuitions for the inevitability of history are faulty.
Daniel Kahneman notes that if sperm are randomized, the chance of Hitler, Stalin, and Mao all being born boys is 1⁄8. Re-run the 20th century with any of them being female and you get vastly different results. That thought experiment makes me suspect our intuitions for the inevitability of history are faulty.