As TLW’s comment notes, the disclosure process itself might be really computationally expensive.
I was actually thinking of the cost of physical demonstrations, and/or the cost of convincing others that simulations are accurate[1], not so much direct simulation costs.
That being said, this is still a valid point, just not one that I should be credited for.
Imagine trying to convince someone of atomic weapons purely with simulations, without anyone ever having detonated one[2], for instance. It may be doable; it’d be nowhere near cheap.
Now imagine trying to do so without allowing the other side to figure out how to make atomic bombs in the process...
To be clear: as in alt-history-style ‘Trinity / etc never happened’. Not just as in someone today convincing another that their particular atomic weapon works.
I was actually thinking of the cost of physical demonstrations, and/or the cost of convincing others that simulations are accurate[1], not so much direct simulation costs.
That being said, this is still a valid point, just not one that I should be credited for.
Imagine trying to convince someone of atomic weapons purely with simulations, without anyone ever having detonated one[2], for instance. It may be doable; it’d be nowhere near cheap.
Now imagine trying to do so without allowing the other side to figure out how to make atomic bombs in the process...
To be clear: as in alt-history-style ‘Trinity / etc never happened’. Not just as in someone today convincing another that their particular atomic weapon works.