Anthropic’s marginal contribution to safety (compared to what we would have in a world without Anthropic) probably doesn’t offset Anthropic’s contribution to the AI race.
I think there are more worlds where Anthropic is contributing to the race in a negative fashion than there are worlds where Anthropic’s marginal safety improvement over OpenAI/DeepMind-ish orgs is critical for securing a good future with AGI (weighing things according to the impact sizes and probabilities).
I agree.
Anthropic’s marginal contribution to safety (compared to what we would have in a world without Anthropic) probably doesn’t offset Anthropic’s contribution to the AI race.
I think there are more worlds where Anthropic is contributing to the race in a negative fashion than there are worlds where Anthropic’s marginal safety improvement over OpenAI/DeepMind-ish orgs is critical for securing a good future with AGI (weighing things according to the impact sizes and probabilities).