Eliezer, you can discuss roadmaps to how one might actually build nanotechnology. You have the author of Nanosystems right here. What I think you get consistently wrong is you are missing all the intermediate incremental steps it would actually require, and the large amount of (probably robotic) “labor” it would take.
A mess of papers published by different scientists in different labs with different equipment and different technicians on nanoscale phenomena does not give even a superintelligence enough actionable information to simulate the nanoscale and skip the research.
It’s like those Sherlock Holmes stories you often quote: there are many possible realities consistent with weak data, and a superintelligence may be able to enumerate and consider them all, but it still doesn’t know which ones are consistent with ground truth reality.
Eliezer, you can discuss roadmaps to how one might actually build nanotechnology. You have the author of Nanosystems right here. What I think you get consistently wrong is you are missing all the intermediate incremental steps it would actually require, and the large amount of (probably robotic) “labor” it would take.
A mess of papers published by different scientists in different labs with different equipment and different technicians on nanoscale phenomena does not give even a superintelligence enough actionable information to simulate the nanoscale and skip the research.
It’s like those Sherlock Holmes stories you often quote: there are many possible realities consistent with weak data, and a superintelligence may be able to enumerate and consider them all, but it still doesn’t know which ones are consistent with ground truth reality.