It’s quite hard to evaluate this post with any precision, but I find it reasonable to assign 23.432774% probability that it is a genuine piece of Advanced Wisdom. Accordingly I choose +1, with an estimated expected benefit of 235.74637 utilons plus 54.747746 warm fuzzies.
It’s quite hard to evaluate this post with any precision, but I find it reasonable to assign 23.432774% probability that it is a genuine piece of Advanced Wisdom. Accordingly I choose +1, with an estimated expected benefit of 235.74637 utilons plus 54.747746 warm fuzzies.