Disclosure: I arranged for the Lightcone team to pay Connor to research how covid risk could affect holidays, and write this post.
I know a lot of people have been anxious about how to reason about omicron, covid and the holidays. I think this post does a good job getting the major considerations across and reasoning about them sanely.
If anyone has strong disagreements about how to model covid risk, I encourage them to speak up.
I strongly disagree with this post and think we should be much more conservative until more is known re: omicron. I don’t have a writeup in great detail but thought it would be worthwhile at least to speak up here.
Curated
Disclosure: I arranged for the Lightcone team to pay Connor to research how covid risk could affect holidays, and write this post.
I know a lot of people have been anxious about how to reason about omicron, covid and the holidays. I think this post does a good job getting the major considerations across and reasoning about them sanely.
If anyone has strong disagreements about how to model covid risk, I encourage them to speak up.
I strongly disagree with this post and think we should be much more conservative until more is known re: omicron. I don’t have a writeup in great detail but thought it would be worthwhile at least to speak up here.