I agree that I have no faith in current governments to implement and enforce policies that are more complex than things on the order of governance compute and chip export controls.
I think the conclusion this points towards is that we need new forms of governance. Not to replace existing governments, but to complement them. Voluntary mutual inspection contracts with privacy-respecting technology using AI inspectors. Something of that sort.
I agree that I have no faith in current governments to implement and enforce policies that are more complex than things on the order of governance compute and chip export controls.
I think the conclusion this points towards is that we need new forms of governance. Not to replace existing governments, but to complement them. Voluntary mutual inspection contracts with privacy-respecting technology using AI inspectors. Something of that sort.
Here’s some recent evidence of compute thresholds not being reliable: https://novasky-ai.github.io/posts/sky-t1/
Here’s another self-link to some of my thoughts on this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tdrK7r4QA3ifbt2Ty/is-ai-alignment-enough?commentId=An6L68WETg3zCQrHT