In order for a single cell to live, all of the parts of the cell must be assembled before life starts. This involves 60,000 proteins that are assembled in roughly 100 different combinations. The probability that these complex groupings of proteins could have happened just by chance is extremely small. It is about 1 chance in 10 to the 4,478,296 power. The probability of a living cell being assembled just by chance is so small, that you may as well consider it to be impossible. This means that the probability that the living cell is created by an intelligent creator, that designed it, is extremely large. The probability that God created the living cell is 10 to the 4,478,296 power to 1.
Note that someone just gave a confidence level of 10^4478296 to one and was wrong. This is the sort of thing that should never ever happen. This is possibly the most wrong anyone has ever been.
Particularly in the light of the fact that he seems to have got the numbers the wrong way round from what he intended in the final sentence.
Not really; “The odds that God created the living cell are 10 to the 4,478,296 power to 1” would mean that it’s that ridiculously improbable that God created the cell, which is clearly not what that author was arguing.
No, no. The guy’s worse mistake is not that. If he really thinks that a cell can be jigsawwed from individual proteins etc. and think of all the water and ions and stuff), in a single event, then the odds he gives are the odds of God getting the cell right.
Particularly in the light of the fact that he seems to have got the numbers the wrong way round from what he intended in the final sentence.
Did he? I thought he just meant ‘odds’ when he said ‘probability’.
Not really; “The odds that God created the living cell are 10 to the 4,478,296 power to 1” would mean that it’s that ridiculously improbable that God created the cell, which is clearly not what that author was arguing.
No, no. The guy’s worse mistake is not that. If he really thinks that a cell can be jigsawwed from individual proteins etc. and think of all the water and ions and stuff), in a single event, then the odds he gives are the odds of God getting the cell right.