Looking back over ancient posts, I saw this. I upvoted it earlier, and am leaving that, but I’d like to quibble with one thing:
this unnamed and possibly non-existent theory is less Kolmogorov-complex and hence more posterior-probable than the one that scientists are currently using
I think the bigger issue would be ‘this unnamed and possibly non-existent theory is an accurate description of reality’. If it’s more Kolmogorov-complex, so be it, that’s the universe’s prerogative. Increasing the Kolmogorov complexity decreases only our prior for it; it won’t change whether it is the case.
Looking back over ancient posts, I saw this. I upvoted it earlier, and am leaving that, but I’d like to quibble with one thing:
I think the bigger issue would be ‘this unnamed and possibly non-existent theory is an accurate description of reality’. If it’s more Kolmogorov-complex, so be it, that’s the universe’s prerogative. Increasing the Kolmogorov complexity decreases only our prior for it; it won’t change whether it is the case.