That example and pretty much everything else that comes up outside contrived corner cases is embedded in complex webs of cause and effect, where indeed probability and values are very different in practice. But when you consider entire universes at a time that can not causally interact then you gain a degree of freedom and if you want to keep the distinction you have to make an arbitrary choice, which is a) unaesthetic, and b) different agents will make differently making it harder to reason about them. But really it’s semantics; the models are isomorphic as far as I can tell.
That example and pretty much everything else that comes up outside contrived corner cases is embedded in complex webs of cause and effect, where indeed probability and values are very different in practice. But when you consider entire universes at a time that can not causally interact then you gain a degree of freedom and if you want to keep the distinction you have to make an arbitrary choice, which is a) unaesthetic, and b) different agents will make differently making it harder to reason about them. But really it’s semantics; the models are isomorphic as far as I can tell.