It seems we mostly agree about the usefulness and applicability of gut feelings, as well as their limitations. (Of course, if someone else is aware of any research about their accuracy, I am still interested in seeing it.)
One way I would summarize the ideal setup is: during “downtime”, use logic-based reasoning to come up with a rigorous and easy-to-apply procedure; during “crunch time”, use intuition to generate probable avenues of investigation and likely candidates for diagnosis and solution; supplement with the pre-developed procedure to guard against biases and ensure correct usage of intuition-derived data.
It seems we mostly agree about the usefulness and applicability of gut feelings, as well as their limitations. (Of course, if someone else is aware of any research about their accuracy, I am still interested in seeing it.)
One way I would summarize the ideal setup is: during “downtime”, use logic-based reasoning to come up with a rigorous and easy-to-apply procedure; during “crunch time”, use intuition to generate probable avenues of investigation and likely candidates for diagnosis and solution; supplement with the pre-developed procedure to guard against biases and ensure correct usage of intuition-derived data.
Does this sound like a fair summary?