Agreed that he’s changed a law, which created massive utility. (No “probably” about it; we have Word of God on this. Whether John has any way of knowing it is a different question, but what we’re asking is what John should do, not what John can know he should do, so epistemic state is irrelevant.)
And I suppose I can accept concluding that he’s likely to create another 50% of that utility before being shut down. That seems to involve ignoring granularity issues which I’m loathe to ignore, but I don’t seem to really care about that.
Mostly, your estimate of the value of having credibility as an honest judge (and to a lesser extent, the value of the class of judges having credibility as being honest) seems lower than mine, in which case it makes sense that you conclude that the disutility of risking that credibility isn’t worth as much as I do.
Agreed that he’s changed a law, which created massive utility. (No “probably” about it; we have Word of God on this. Whether John has any way of knowing it is a different question, but what we’re asking is what John should do, not what John can know he should do, so epistemic state is irrelevant.)
And I suppose I can accept concluding that he’s likely to create another 50% of that utility before being shut down. That seems to involve ignoring granularity issues which I’m loathe to ignore, but I don’t seem to really care about that.
Mostly, your estimate of the value of having credibility as an honest judge (and to a lesser extent, the value of the class of judges having credibility as being honest) seems lower than mine, in which case it makes sense that you conclude that the disutility of risking that credibility isn’t worth as much as I do.