These are valid concerns! I presume that if “in the real timeline” there was a consortium of AGI CEOs who agreed to share costs on one run, and fiddled with their self-inserts, then they… would have coordinated more? (Or maybe they’re trying to settle a bet on how the Singularity might counterfactually might have happened in the event of this or that person experiencing this or that coincidence? But in that case I don’t think the self inserts would be allowed to say they’re self inserts.)
Like why not re-roll the PRNG, to censor out the counterfactually simulable timelines that included me hearing from any of the REAL “self inserts of the consortium of AGI CEOS” (and so I only hear from “metaphysically spurious” CEOs)??
Or maybe the game engine itself would have contacted me somehow to ask me to “stop sticking causal quines in their simulation” and somehow I would have been induced by such contact to not publish this?
Mostly I presume AGAINST “coordinated AGI CEO stuff in the real timeline” along any of these lines because, as a type, they often “don’t play well with others”. Fucking oligarchs… maaaaaan.
It seems like a pretty normal thing, to me, for a person to naturally keep track of simulation concerns as a philosophic possibility (its kinda basic “high school theology” right?)… which might become one’s “one track reality narrative” as a sort of “stress induced psychotic break away from a properly metaphysically agnostic mental posture”?
That’s my current working psychological hypothesis, basically.
But to the degree that it happens more and more, I can’t entirely shake the feeling that my probability distribution over “the time T of a pivotal acts occurring” (distinct from when I anticipate I’ll learn that it happened which of course must be LATER than both T and later than now) shouldn’t just include times in the past, but should actually be a distribution over complex numbers or something...
...but I don’t even know how to do that math? At best I can sorta see how to fit it into exotic grammars where it “can have happened counterfactually” or so that it “will have counterfactually happened in a way that caused this factually possible recurrence” or whatever. Fucking “plausible SUBJECTIVE time travel”, fucking shit up. It is so annoying.
Like… maybe every damn crazy AGI CEO’s claims are all true except the ones that are mathematically false?
How the hell should I know? I haven’t seen any not-plausibly-deniable miracles yet. (And all of the miracle reports I’ve heard were things I was pretty sure the Amazing Randi could have duplicated.)
All of this is to say, Hume hasn’t fully betrayed me yet!
Mostly I’ll hold off on performing normal updates until I see for myself, and hold off on performing logical updates until (again!) I see a valid proof for myself <3
These are valid concerns! I presume that if “in the real timeline” there was a consortium of AGI CEOs who agreed to share costs on one run, and fiddled with their self-inserts, then they… would have coordinated more? (Or maybe they’re trying to settle a bet on how the Singularity might counterfactually might have happened in the event of this or that person experiencing this or that coincidence? But in that case I don’t think the self inserts would be allowed to say they’re self inserts.)
Like why not re-roll the PRNG, to censor out the counterfactually simulable timelines that included me hearing from any of the REAL “self inserts of the consortium of AGI CEOS” (and so I only hear from “metaphysically spurious” CEOs)??
Or maybe the game engine itself would have contacted me somehow to ask me to “stop sticking causal quines in their simulation” and somehow I would have been induced by such contact to not publish this?
Mostly I presume AGAINST “coordinated AGI CEO stuff in the real timeline” along any of these lines because, as a type, they often “don’t play well with others”. Fucking oligarchs… maaaaaan.
It seems like a pretty normal thing, to me, for a person to naturally keep track of simulation concerns as a philosophic possibility (its kinda basic “high school theology” right?)… which might become one’s “one track reality narrative” as a sort of “stress induced psychotic break away from a properly metaphysically agnostic mental posture”?
That’s my current working psychological hypothesis, basically.
But to the degree that it happens more and more, I can’t entirely shake the feeling that my probability distribution over “the time T of a pivotal acts occurring” (distinct from when I anticipate I’ll learn that it happened which of course must be LATER than both T and later than now) shouldn’t just include times in the past, but should actually be a distribution over complex numbers or something...
...but I don’t even know how to do that math? At best I can sorta see how to fit it into exotic grammars where it “can have happened counterfactually” or so that it “will have counterfactually happened in a way that caused this factually possible recurrence” or whatever. Fucking “plausible SUBJECTIVE time travel”, fucking shit up. It is so annoying.
Like… maybe every damn crazy AGI CEO’s claims are all true except the ones that are mathematically false?
How the hell should I know? I haven’t seen any not-plausibly-deniable miracles yet. (And all of the miracle reports I’ve heard were things I was pretty sure the Amazing Randi could have duplicated.)
All of this is to say, Hume hasn’t fully betrayed me yet!
Mostly I’ll hold off on performing normal updates until I see for myself, and hold off on performing logical updates until (again!) I see a valid proof for myself <3