I find a number of logical errors in what you’ve presented.
The first is a difference in the the interpretation of the term ‘guilty’. For the mass of the internet, guilty is understood to mean definitively “So-and-so did the action.” However, a verdict of guilty is quite a different thing; being related to a human enterprise, a verdict of guilty is necessarily bounded by time, technology, and common agreement, to list a few. For example, we frequently argue the technology part- the LCN DNA test on the knife. The ability to prove “guilty” as “did the action” is limited to our advancement and acceptance of LCN DNA testing. Regarding common agreement, I read somewhere (been trying to find the reference) that under Italian law, someone who assists with a crime is as “guilty” as the person who “did the action”. Thus, the commonly agreed upon legal determination of “guilt” is different from an individual weighing whether or not someone did a crime. Within the US, the determination of ‘guilt’ is “proven beyond a reasonable doubt”. Again, not “proven that so-and-so did it”, otherwise almost nobody would be convicted of crimes that don’t have a video of them doing it.
One of the problems I see is that you’ve limited your definition of the crime ‘scene’ as being the immediate area that the events took place. Guede’s footprints in blood were found in the kitchen heading towards the front door. Wouldn’t then that be part of the crime scene evidence? In fact, wouldn’t wherever the victim’s blood was found be part of the crime scene evidence? Under our common agreement (legal code), the answer to that is “yes”. Therefore, the other things that appear or do not appear should contribute to our rational determination of guilt.
This includes half of a bare footprint found in blood on a bathroom mat. There was no bare footprints found in the room, and none leading between the room and the bathroom. A rational assessment similar to “Knox isn’t involved because there is no evidence in the bedroom” would then state that nobody was in bare feet because there are no bare footprints in the bedroom. Ah, but its there on the bathmat in the victim’s blood.
So, with the Guede “Lone Wolf” theory, we’re now left with a little explaining to do to make our hypothesis fit. What actions would have Guede in the bathroom with his shoes off leaving half a print in blood, but then also have a trail of Guede’s shoeprints in blood in the kitchen by the front door? What actions would explain both of that -and- not have any other bare footprints visible anywhere? Occom’s razor starts asking you to be put back on the sink and come back again when you have a better theory.
There are two explanations that fit. The first is the bare footprints that might have been in the room are no longer detectable because they were in a liquid subtance that deliberately or accidentally got smeared. Ah, but then there’s a second potential person in the room. And the other explanation, is that bleach was used to wipe away the bare footprints in the hallway and bathroom. Ah, but then why would guede do that and not clean his other shoe prints?
There is actually a story that fits most of what you posit and most of the scene, and that’s Guedes. His story was that it was Sollecito and Knox, and he wrestled with sollecito when sollecito was coming out of the room. Both Guede and Knox’s early stories have knox either in the kitchen or out side. Guede claims he went into the bedroom and tried to stop the bleeding with towels. You can look up the rest of his story. I posit elsewhere that Sollecito and Guede may not have recognized each other.
A hypothesis that acutally requires less explanation then the Guede lone wolf theory is that Knox and Sollecito went to play a prank on the victim-an fake rape attempt. Reportedly Knox wrote a story similar to this ( I don’t quite know the details). They were fully clothed (it was november) potentially with a mask of some sort. While executing this act, it got out of hand and the victim got fatally injured. Guede’s story has him coming out of the bathroom at the scream, wrestling with Sollectio, then going in to put towels on the victim. After the victim dies, Guede leaves and is seen at a dance club a short time later. Knox and Sollecito, having seen no police come to the apartment, come back and attempt to remove any incriminating evidence. To not leave other shoe prints, they go in bare feet; they reason both their dusted bare prints can be explained since Knox lives there, and anyways with no bare prints in the bedroom they don’t fit the scene. They step cautiously around Guede’s prints in the hall. They take Knox’s lamp into the bedroom to see the room better. After smearing the blood in the bedroom, they accidently track some into the hallway and on the bath mat. Knox didn’t recognize Guede; she had run out at the first sign the scene turned south. She only knew it was a black man, so she thought it might be her boss when she gave her story to the station. In addition, Sollecito carried knifes in his back pocket; I think he had two pocket knifes that I know of. Its not a far stretch to think he had a third that he discarded.
When guede gets arrested, he thinks that Knox and Sollecito will pin it on him, so he goes fast-track on the trial. Ultimately he’s innocent, but he gets convicted under the laws of the land. Knox and Sollecito, the ones that really did it, get convicted as well, since there is enough in the jury’s eyes for them to be complicit. They pin their hopes on the appeal on the few remaining pieces of evidence that they weren’t able to completely eradicate in the 12+ hours they had to work things out.
I find a number of logical errors in what you’ve presented.
The first is a difference in the the interpretation of the term ‘guilty’. For the mass of the internet, guilty is understood to mean definitively “So-and-so did the action.” However, a verdict of guilty is quite a different thing; being related to a human enterprise, a verdict of guilty is necessarily bounded by time, technology, and common agreement, to list a few. For example, we frequently argue the technology part- the LCN DNA test on the knife. The ability to prove “guilty” as “did the action” is limited to our advancement and acceptance of LCN DNA testing. Regarding common agreement, I read somewhere (been trying to find the reference) that under Italian law, someone who assists with a crime is as “guilty” as the person who “did the action”. Thus, the commonly agreed upon legal determination of “guilt” is different from an individual weighing whether or not someone did a crime. Within the US, the determination of ‘guilt’ is “proven beyond a reasonable doubt”. Again, not “proven that so-and-so did it”, otherwise almost nobody would be convicted of crimes that don’t have a video of them doing it.
One of the problems I see is that you’ve limited your definition of the crime ‘scene’ as being the immediate area that the events took place. Guede’s footprints in blood were found in the kitchen heading towards the front door. Wouldn’t then that be part of the crime scene evidence? In fact, wouldn’t wherever the victim’s blood was found be part of the crime scene evidence? Under our common agreement (legal code), the answer to that is “yes”. Therefore, the other things that appear or do not appear should contribute to our rational determination of guilt.
This includes half of a bare footprint found in blood on a bathroom mat. There was no bare footprints found in the room, and none leading between the room and the bathroom. A rational assessment similar to “Knox isn’t involved because there is no evidence in the bedroom” would then state that nobody was in bare feet because there are no bare footprints in the bedroom. Ah, but its there on the bathmat in the victim’s blood.
So, with the Guede “Lone Wolf” theory, we’re now left with a little explaining to do to make our hypothesis fit. What actions would have Guede in the bathroom with his shoes off leaving half a print in blood, but then also have a trail of Guede’s shoeprints in blood in the kitchen by the front door? What actions would explain both of that -and- not have any other bare footprints visible anywhere? Occom’s razor starts asking you to be put back on the sink and come back again when you have a better theory.
There are two explanations that fit. The first is the bare footprints that might have been in the room are no longer detectable because they were in a liquid subtance that deliberately or accidentally got smeared. Ah, but then there’s a second potential person in the room. And the other explanation, is that bleach was used to wipe away the bare footprints in the hallway and bathroom. Ah, but then why would guede do that and not clean his other shoe prints?
There is actually a story that fits most of what you posit and most of the scene, and that’s Guedes. His story was that it was Sollecito and Knox, and he wrestled with sollecito when sollecito was coming out of the room. Both Guede and Knox’s early stories have knox either in the kitchen or out side. Guede claims he went into the bedroom and tried to stop the bleeding with towels. You can look up the rest of his story. I posit elsewhere that Sollecito and Guede may not have recognized each other.
A hypothesis that acutally requires less explanation then the Guede lone wolf theory is that Knox and Sollecito went to play a prank on the victim-an fake rape attempt. Reportedly Knox wrote a story similar to this ( I don’t quite know the details). They were fully clothed (it was november) potentially with a mask of some sort. While executing this act, it got out of hand and the victim got fatally injured. Guede’s story has him coming out of the bathroom at the scream, wrestling with Sollectio, then going in to put towels on the victim. After the victim dies, Guede leaves and is seen at a dance club a short time later. Knox and Sollecito, having seen no police come to the apartment, come back and attempt to remove any incriminating evidence. To not leave other shoe prints, they go in bare feet; they reason both their dusted bare prints can be explained since Knox lives there, and anyways with no bare prints in the bedroom they don’t fit the scene. They step cautiously around Guede’s prints in the hall. They take Knox’s lamp into the bedroom to see the room better. After smearing the blood in the bedroom, they accidently track some into the hallway and on the bath mat. Knox didn’t recognize Guede; she had run out at the first sign the scene turned south. She only knew it was a black man, so she thought it might be her boss when she gave her story to the station. In addition, Sollecito carried knifes in his back pocket; I think he had two pocket knifes that I know of. Its not a far stretch to think he had a third that he discarded.
When guede gets arrested, he thinks that Knox and Sollecito will pin it on him, so he goes fast-track on the trial. Ultimately he’s innocent, but he gets convicted under the laws of the land. Knox and Sollecito, the ones that really did it, get convicted as well, since there is enough in the jury’s eyes for them to be complicit. They pin their hopes on the appeal on the few remaining pieces of evidence that they weren’t able to completely eradicate in the 12+ hours they had to work things out.
Pat