There will be some threshold of evidence below which a hypothesis ought to receive strictly zero attention. You could probably even formalize this in terms of bounded rationality.
Right, but I don’t need to claim that the anti-Knox evidence is below that threshold. Unless, that is, we’re talking about extremely imperfect less-than-Bayesian human minds, who can’t intuitively perceive the difference in weight that a perfect Bayesian would assign to 30-bit evidence vs. 10-bit evidence.
There will be some threshold of evidence below which a hypothesis ought to receive strictly zero attention. You could probably even formalize this in terms of bounded rationality.
Right, but I don’t need to claim that the anti-Knox evidence is below that threshold. Unless, that is, we’re talking about extremely imperfect less-than-Bayesian human minds, who can’t intuitively perceive the difference in weight that a perfect Bayesian would assign to 30-bit evidence vs. 10-bit evidence.