It is true that a high probability of a prior is not necessary for probability of guilt.
It is also true, however, that it doesn’t mean that he didn’t have a high prior. I could drop it to .3 though. With the actions in the previous weeks, a case could be made that he was in an escalating pattern of behavior, which is why I gave him a .5 prior.
It is true that a high probability of a prior is not necessary for probability of guilt.
It is also true, however, that it doesn’t mean that he didn’t have a high prior. I could drop it to .3 though. With the actions in the previous weeks, a case could be made that he was in an escalating pattern of behavior, which is why I gave him a .5 prior.