The increases for unaffiliated are most pronounced in the youngest
No, increase in unaffiliated is the same 3 points for older millenials, gen X, and boomers, with no change in older people. It is much less pronounced in any cohort than in the population as a whole. Younger millenials are not “up to 34%,” but have only been measured once, at 34%.
Over the past 5 years, half of the effect is due to “young” people, including boomers, becoming less affiliated, but the other half is a cohort effect as old people dying off and are replaced by young people with a much lower rate of affiliation.
Recent Trends in Affiliation, by Generation, pg. 16. contains the 2007-2012 cohorts graph.
That’s a five year update to the first graph in the previous report I cited (Graph: Young People Less Religiously Affiliated). The fact that it is only a 5 year cohort is somewhat hiding how fast the numbers are changing at the low end.
Also, this new graph is the first to show a change within each cohort, and in only 5 years. The previous report showed that the percentage had generally stayed constant across decades for each cohort.
No, increase in unaffiliated is the same 3 points for older millenials, gen X, and boomers, with no change in older people. It is much less pronounced in any cohort than in the population as a whole. Younger millenials are not “up to 34%,” but have only been measured once, at 34%.
Over the past 5 years, half of the effect is due to “young” people, including boomers, becoming less affiliated, but the other half is a cohort effect as old people dying off and are replaced by young people with a much lower rate of affiliation.
Yes, the youngest cohort in each study are different cohorts, and I was comparing those two different cohorts.
But thanks for bringing to my attention the 2007-2012 cohorts graph.
The graph on the page you mentioned?
Recent Trends in Affiliation, by Generation, pg. 16. contains the 2007-2012 cohorts graph.
That’s a five year update to the first graph in the previous report I cited (Graph: Young People Less Religiously Affiliated). The fact that it is only a 5 year cohort is somewhat hiding how fast the numbers are changing at the low end.
Also, this new graph is the first to show a change within each cohort, and in only 5 years. The previous report showed that the percentage had generally stayed constant across decades for each cohort.
The times, they are a changing.