If you are not an expert, what made you think that Nick Lane’s books are better than random garbage? I see two options: either you trust his credentials, or you have already read enough books in biology that there is a chance that you would notice something off.
Let’s run with this, not because I need to decide this case, but as an example:
He has reasonable credentials: he’s Reader in Evolutionary Biochemistry (the exact subject of his books), University College, London. He has written several books on the subject with high Amazon rank. Most things he says aren’t original to him and he’s careful to cite the origins of each idea.
But with all that, I have no real idea of how other people in his field perceive him or his theories. All the reviews I found with Google were positive but also weren’t by experts in that particular field. I also don’t have a sense of how much counterevidence there might be that he doesn’t mention.
I have read many tens of books popularizing biology, paleontology, history of evolution, etc. And I studied undergrad biology for three semesters. But I don’t have a professional understanding, and I haven’t read technical literature relevant to Lane’s theories.
I do sometimes notice ‘something being off’. But in most of these cases I don’t think I’m capable of distinguishing the author being wrong from myself being wrong.
I’m afraid of spreading misinformation that only an expert would notice, because there may not be any experts in the audience (and also my reputation would take a big hit). So the question is: how (meta-)certain should I be before publishing something on LW?
Let’s run with this, not because I need to decide this case, but as an example:
He has reasonable credentials: he’s Reader in Evolutionary Biochemistry (the exact subject of his books), University College, London. He has written several books on the subject with high Amazon rank. Most things he says aren’t original to him and he’s careful to cite the origins of each idea.
But with all that, I have no real idea of how other people in his field perceive him or his theories. All the reviews I found with Google were positive but also weren’t by experts in that particular field. I also don’t have a sense of how much counterevidence there might be that he doesn’t mention.
I have read many tens of books popularizing biology, paleontology, history of evolution, etc. And I studied undergrad biology for three semesters. But I don’t have a professional understanding, and I haven’t read technical literature relevant to Lane’s theories.
I do sometimes notice ‘something being off’. But in most of these cases I don’t think I’m capable of distinguishing the author being wrong from myself being wrong.
I’m afraid of spreading misinformation that only an expert would notice, because there may not be any experts in the audience (and also my reputation would take a big hit). So the question is: how (meta-)certain should I be before publishing something on LW?
Well, I plan to publish articles with much less evidence. I am not a scientist, and I usually don’t check the references.
I’d say go ahead.
On this, Nate Soares’ Confidence All the Way Up is worth reading.