Will 1% and 4% RGDP growth worlds have the same levels of future shock? A world in which production doubles every 18 years and a world in which production doubles every 70 years seem like they will need very different abilities to deal with change.
I suspect that more future shock would lead to more interest in stable self-improvement, especially on the institutional level. But it’s not clear what causes some institutions to do the important but not urgent work of future-proofing, and others to not- it may be the case that in the more sedate 1% growth world, more effort will be spent on future-proofing, which is good news for FAI relative to UFAI.
We’ve already had high levels of future shock and it hasn’t translated into any such interest. This seems like an extremely fragile and weak transmission mechanism. (So do most transmission mechanisms of the form, “Faster progress will lead people to believe X which will support ideal Y which will lead them to agree with me/us on policy Z.”)
Will 1% and 4% RGDP growth worlds have the same levels of future shock? A world in which production doubles every 18 years and a world in which production doubles every 70 years seem like they will need very different abilities to deal with change.
I suspect that more future shock would lead to more interest in stable self-improvement, especially on the institutional level. But it’s not clear what causes some institutions to do the important but not urgent work of future-proofing, and others to not- it may be the case that in the more sedate 1% growth world, more effort will be spent on future-proofing, which is good news for FAI relative to UFAI.
We’ve already had high levels of future shock and it hasn’t translated into any such interest. This seems like an extremely fragile and weak transmission mechanism. (So do most transmission mechanisms of the form, “Faster progress will lead people to believe X which will support ideal Y which will lead them to agree with me/us on policy Z.”)