A small correction: the probability of “avoided archdevil & died” should be 18%, not 8%. This isn’t used in the subsequent calculation, but if the question had been “Looks like he’s not coming back. What’s the chance an archdevil got him?” it would. (28% = 7/(7+18).)
A small correction: the probability of “avoided archdevil & died” should be 18%, not 8%. This isn’t used in the subsequent calculation, but if the question had been “Looks like he’s not coming back. What’s the chance an archdevil got him?” it would. (28% = 7/(7+18).)
Can’t believe I missed that; edited; ty!