I’ve made a lot of manifold markets, and find it a useful way to track my accuracy and sanity check my beliefs against the community. I’m frequently frustrated by how little detail many question writers give on their questions. Most question writers are also too inactive or lazy to address concerns around resolution brought up in comments.
Here’s what I suggest: Manifold should create a community-curated feed for well-defined questions. I can think of two ways of implementing this:
(Question-based) Allow community members to vote on whether they think the question is well-defined
(User-based) Track comments on question clarifications (e.g. Metaculus has an option for specifying your comment pertains to resolution), and give users a badge if there are no open ‘issues’ on their questions.
Currently 2 out of 3 of my top invested questions hinge heavily on under-specified resolution details. The other one was elaborated on after I asked in comments. Those questions have ~500 users active on them collectively.
What I want to see from Manifold Markets
I’ve made a lot of manifold markets, and find it a useful way to track my accuracy and sanity check my beliefs against the community. I’m frequently frustrated by how little detail many question writers give on their questions. Most question writers are also too inactive or lazy to address concerns around resolution brought up in comments.
Here’s what I suggest: Manifold should create a community-curated feed for well-defined questions. I can think of two ways of implementing this:
(Question-based) Allow community members to vote on whether they think the question is well-defined
(User-based) Track comments on question clarifications (e.g. Metaculus has an option for specifying your comment pertains to resolution), and give users a badge if there are no open ‘issues’ on their questions.
Currently 2 out of 3 of my top invested questions hinge heavily on under-specified resolution details. The other one was elaborated on after I asked in comments. Those questions have ~500 users active on them collectively.