This survey’s median estimates rate nuclear war as ten times as likely to kill a billion people in the 21st century as to cause human extinction: http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0020/3854/global-catastrophic-risks-report.pdf
How many of the respondents had any specific expertise on nuclear wars?
A handful, who had given presentations to the rest of the group with discussion. Also climate folks.
Do you know anything about what their estimates were?
Not broken out.
This survey’s median estimates rate nuclear war as ten times as likely to kill a billion people in the 21st century as to cause human extinction: http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0020/3854/global-catastrophic-risks-report.pdf
How many of the respondents had any specific expertise on nuclear wars?
A handful, who had given presentations to the rest of the group with discussion. Also climate folks.
Do you know anything about what their estimates were?
Not broken out.