Neat, thanks a ton for the algorithmic-vs-labor update—I appreciated that you’d distinguished those in your post, but I forgot to carry that through in mine! :)
And oops, I really don’t know how I got to 1.6 instead of 1.5 there. Thanks for the flag, have updated my comment accordingly!
The square relationship idea is interesting—that factor of 2 is a huge deal. Would be neat to see a Guesstimate or Squiggle version of this calculation that tries to account for the various nuances Tom mentions, and has error bars on each of the terms, so we both get a distribution of r and a sensitivity analysis. (Maybe @Tom Davidson already has this somewhere? If not I might try to make a crappy version myself, or poke talented folks I know to do a good version :)
Neat, thanks a ton for the algorithmic-vs-labor update—I appreciated that you’d distinguished those in your post, but I forgot to carry that through in mine! :)
And oops, I really don’t know how I got to 1.6 instead of 1.5 there. Thanks for the flag, have updated my comment accordingly!
The square relationship idea is interesting—that factor of 2 is a huge deal. Would be neat to see a Guesstimate or Squiggle version of this calculation that tries to account for the various nuances Tom mentions, and has error bars on each of the terms, so we both get a distribution of r and a sensitivity analysis. (Maybe @Tom Davidson already has this somewhere? If not I might try to make a crappy version myself, or poke talented folks I know to do a good version :)