The reason I think this is important is because “[t]o argue against an idea honestly, you should argue against the best arguments of the strongest advocates”: if you write 3000 words inveighing against people who think comparative advantage means that horses can’t get sent to glue factories, that doesn’t license the conclusion that superintelligence Will Definitely Kill You if there are other reasons why superintelligence Might Not Kill You that don’t stop being real just because very few people have the expertise to formulate them carefully.
There’s a time for basic arguments, and a time for advanced arguments. I would like to see Eliezer’s take on the more complicated arguments you mentioned, but this post is clearly intended to argue basics.
There’s a time for basic arguments, and a time for advanced arguments. I would like to see Eliezer’s take on the more complicated arguments you mentioned, but this post is clearly intended to argue basics.