This was all a really nice read, very informative, strong favorited. You did lose me in claiming a double exponent for economic growth resulting from increased intelligence. I don’t have enough information to say you’re right or wrong, but for such an extreme claim, I want to see more of your model. I also want to see more of your model because I just think it would be interesting!
Frankly the double exponential growth claim is one of the more speculative in the post. There ARE some similarities with a field like quantum computing, where Neven’s law describes how quantum computers’ performance at certain tasks improves at a doubly exponential rate.
The doubly exponential rate at which, according to Neven, quantum computers are gaining on classical ones is a result of two exponential factors combined with each other. The first is that quantum computers have an intrinsic exponential advantage over classical ones: If a quantum circuit has four quantum bits, for example, it takes a classical circuit with 16 ordinary bits to achieve equivalent computational power. This would be true even if quantum technology never improved.
My assertion of doubly exponential economic growth is premised on two things: economic growth being an exponential multiple of the abilities of the beings that create it, and intelligence itself increasing exponentially as we begin to adopt genetic modification.
This was all a really nice read, very informative, strong favorited. You did lose me in claiming a double exponent for economic growth resulting from increased intelligence. I don’t have enough information to say you’re right or wrong, but for such an extreme claim, I want to see more of your model. I also want to see more of your model because I just think it would be interesting!
Thanks!
Frankly the double exponential growth claim is one of the more speculative in the post. There ARE some similarities with a field like quantum computing, where Neven’s law describes how quantum computers’ performance at certain tasks improves at a doubly exponential rate.
My assertion of doubly exponential economic growth is premised on two things: economic growth being an exponential multiple of the abilities of the beings that create it, and intelligence itself increasing exponentially as we begin to adopt genetic modification.
This obviously could turn out to be wrong.
See also: Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics.