especially if the questions were open ended. (By open ended, I mean “how will the economy change if X happens” rather than “Will housing prices go up or down if X happens”.)
This seems consistent with Tetlock’s guess in Superforecasting that hedgehogs are better for knowing what questions to ask.
This seems consistent with Tetlock’s guess in Superforecasting that hedgehogs are better for knowing what questions to ask.
Thanks again. I haven’t actually read the book, just Yvain’s review, but maybe I should make the time investment after all.