My probabilities for each scenario: 0.1 − 0.2 − 0.3 − 0.4 − 0.
After adjusting for egocentric bias, I’d say 0.2 − 0.2 − 0.3 − 0.3 − 0, even if this rings extremely wrong to my emotional brain.
My probabilities for each scenario: 0.1 − 0.2 − 0.3 − 0.4 − 0.
After adjusting for egocentric bias, I’d say 0.2 − 0.2 − 0.3 − 0.3 − 0, even if this rings extremely wrong to my emotional brain.