I notice that you wrote a bunch of loosely related posts on forecasting but got little comments and votes for them. And I want to comment on that. I’m not clear what the exact reason is but I guess it’s multi-factored.
Some posts are lengthy. I think you may assume a bit more prior knowledge and shortening them (by removing explanations or assumptions)
Some posts do not have a clear thread or result or key question. Try to make a point.
I get the impression that they are not (made) interesting enough esp. considering the number of posts. Some posts seem to be just accompanying material. You could post these as comments of one main post.
There is not a single place to comment these. No one stands out binds them together.
The sequence lacks cohesion. Actually it is no sequence but looks like a bunch of loosely related posts. You should add “Followup” or “Related” links. You could have tried to make it into a sequence by building on prior posts and working toward one key result.
Thanks for your thoughts. My purpose with the posts was more to lay out some of my preliminary thoughts on the subject and get any feedback people have, i.e., to check my thinking.
I do understand that many of the posts aren’t awesome and won’t get upvotes, and that’s something I can accept (the marginal cost of polishing the posts to the point where they look really exciting probably isn’t worth the benefit, if the posts can be reworked at all). The small amounts of net upvotes do seem to add up. Some of my posts (such as http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/jj1/supply_demand_and_technological_progress_how/ and http://lesswrong.com/lw/k25/beware_technological_wonderland_or_why_text_will/ did end up getting a lot of upvotes eventually). Some of my posts, such as this one, are more of “utility” posts that I will refer to in later posts. I should not that I am not personally too concerned with karma; as long as I am not being heavily downvoted on net, I think that posting passes a cost-benefit analysis for me.
While I do have a broader framework of where I’m going with the posts, the framework itself is changing frequently in my head, and I don’t think it is productive to lay it out too much right now while it’s still in so much flux. But I will periodically review and add more links between the posts. Once I am done with all posts, I will do a more thorough cleanup.
This comment applies to all of your recent posts.
I notice that you wrote a bunch of loosely related posts on forecasting but got little comments and votes for them. And I want to comment on that. I’m not clear what the exact reason is but I guess it’s multi-factored.
Some posts are lengthy. I think you may assume a bit more prior knowledge and shortening them (by removing explanations or assumptions)
Some posts do not have a clear thread or result or key question. Try to make a point.
I get the impression that they are not (made) interesting enough esp. considering the number of posts. Some posts seem to be just accompanying material. You could post these as comments of one main post.
There is not a single place to comment these. No one stands out binds them together.
The sequence lacks cohesion. Actually it is no sequence but looks like a bunch of loosely related posts. You should add “Followup” or “Related” links. You could have tried to make it into a sequence by building on prior posts and working toward one key result.
I think the word you’re looking for is “brain dumps” :-)
I’m ambivalent about brain dumps on LW. I can see both pros and cons.
Thanks for your thoughts. My purpose with the posts was more to lay out some of my preliminary thoughts on the subject and get any feedback people have, i.e., to check my thinking.
I do understand that many of the posts aren’t awesome and won’t get upvotes, and that’s something I can accept (the marginal cost of polishing the posts to the point where they look really exciting probably isn’t worth the benefit, if the posts can be reworked at all). The small amounts of net upvotes do seem to add up. Some of my posts (such as http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/jj1/supply_demand_and_technological_progress_how/ and http://lesswrong.com/lw/k25/beware_technological_wonderland_or_why_text_will/ did end up getting a lot of upvotes eventually). Some of my posts, such as this one, are more of “utility” posts that I will refer to in later posts. I should not that I am not personally too concerned with karma; as long as I am not being heavily downvoted on net, I think that posting passes a cost-benefit analysis for me.
While I do have a broader framework of where I’m going with the posts, the framework itself is changing frequently in my head, and I don’t think it is productive to lay it out too much right now while it’s still in so much flux. But I will periodically review and add more links between the posts. Once I am done with all posts, I will do a more thorough cleanup.