I tend to associate “feeling the AGI” with being able to make inferences about the consequences of AGI that are not completely idiotic.
Are you imagining that AGI means that Claude is better and that some call center employees will lose their jobs? Then you’re not feeling the AGI.
Are you imagining billions and then trillions of autonomous brilliant entrepreneurial agents, plastering the Earth with robot factories and chip factories and solar cells? Then you’re feeling the AGI.
Are you imagining a future world, where the idea of a human starting a company or making an important government decision, is as laughably absurd as the idea of a tantrum-prone kindergartener starting a company or making an important government decision? Then you’re feeling the AGI.
The economists who forecast that AGI will cause GDP growth to increase by less than 50 percentage points, are definitely not feeling the AGI. Timothy B. Lee definitely does not feel the AGI. I do think there are lots of people who “feel the AGI” in the sense of saying things about the consequences of AGI that are not completely, transparently idiotic, but who are still wrong about the consequences of AGI. Feeling the AGI is a low bar! Actually getting it right is much harder! …At least, that’s how I interpret the term “feel the AGI”.
I tend to associate “feeling the AGI” with being able to make inferences about the consequences of AGI that are not completely idiotic.
Are you imagining that AGI means that Claude is better and that some call center employees will lose their jobs? Then you’re not feeling the AGI.
Are you imagining billions and then trillions of autonomous brilliant entrepreneurial agents, plastering the Earth with robot factories and chip factories and solar cells? Then you’re feeling the AGI.
Are you imagining a future world, where the idea of a human starting a company or making an important government decision, is as laughably absurd as the idea of a tantrum-prone kindergartener starting a company or making an important government decision? Then you’re feeling the AGI.
The economists who forecast that AGI will cause GDP growth to increase by less than 50 percentage points, are definitely not feeling the AGI. Timothy B. Lee definitely does not feel the AGI. I do think there are lots of people who “feel the AGI” in the sense of saying things about the consequences of AGI that are not completely, transparently idiotic, but who are still wrong about the consequences of AGI. Feeling the AGI is a low bar! Actually getting it right is much harder! …At least, that’s how I interpret the term “feel the AGI”.