There’s another important effect here: a laggy time course of public opinion. I saw more popular press articles about EA than I ever have, linking SBF to them, but with a large lag after the events. So the early surveys showing a small effect happened before public conversation really bounced around the idea that SBFs crimes were motivated by EA utilitarian logic. The first time many people would remember hearing about EA would be from those later articles and discussions.
The effect probably amplified considerably over time as that hypothesis bounced through public discourse.
The original point stands but this is making the effect look much larger in this case.
There’s another important effect here: a laggy time course of public opinion. I saw more popular press articles about EA than I ever have, linking SBF to them, but with a large lag after the events. So the early surveys showing a small effect happened before public conversation really bounced around the idea that SBFs crimes were motivated by EA utilitarian logic. The first time many people would remember hearing about EA would be from those later articles and discussions.
The effect probably amplified considerably over time as that hypothesis bounced through public discourse.
The original point stands but this is making the effect look much larger in this case.
This lag effect might amplify a lot more when big budget movies about SBF/FTX come out.