That’s a bit freaky. If someone predicted the Singularity 150 years ago, it suggests current “Singularity imminent!” predictions are far off. We snicker at “thinking machine” applied to a simple calculator, because we understand that even though arithmetic operations are sufficient to build thought, there’s a long way to go from these base components to the genuine article. The analogy with current talk of intelligence is clear.
That’s a bit freaky. If someone predicted the Singularity 150 years ago, it suggests current “Singularity imminent!” predictions are far off.
Could be. Just because it turned out not to be a ten year idea doesn’t mean it will also turn out not to be a 170 year idea. People who thought their heavier-than-air flight ideas would bear fruit 400 years ago were wrong, but when the Wright brothers believed it, they were right.
That’s a bit freaky. If someone predicted the Singularity 150 years ago, it suggests current “Singularity imminent!” predictions are far off. We snicker at “thinking machine” applied to a simple calculator, because we understand that even though arithmetic operations are sufficient to build thought, there’s a long way to go from these base components to the genuine article. The analogy with current talk of intelligence is clear.
Could be. Just because it turned out not to be a ten year idea doesn’t mean it will also turn out not to be a 170 year idea. People who thought their heavier-than-air flight ideas would bear fruit 400 years ago were wrong, but when the Wright brothers believed it, they were right.