I think we have a misunderstanding. My post didn’t argue against all big ambitions, see the part about positive-sum games.
Also, even if it’s good to try risky things, that doesn’t mean it’s good to be biased about your chances. The post pointed out specific biases, like survivorship bias or sunk cost fallacy, that lead people to take more risks than they would choose to take if they saw things clearly.
I think we have a misunderstanding. My post didn’t argue against all big ambitions, see the part about positive-sum games.
Also, even if it’s good to try risky things, that doesn’t mean it’s good to be biased about your chances. The post pointed out specific biases, like survivorship bias or sunk cost fallacy, that lead people to take more risks than they would choose to take if they saw things clearly.