Or, we could give confidence intervals. But how should they be scored?
A relatively simply way to do this would be rather than CI, you give “location and scale” and are scored according to:
Can you clarify (possibly by giving an example)? Are players are trying to minimize their score as calculated by this method?
And if so, is there any incentive to not just pick a huge number for the scale to minimize that way?
A relatively simply way to do this would be rather than CI, you give “location and scale” and are scored according to:
∣∣∣result−locationscale∣∣∣Can you clarify (possibly by giving an example)? Are players are trying to minimize their score as calculated by this method?
And if so, is there any incentive to not just pick a huge number for the scale to minimize that way?