If one loan individual told me that if I didn’t wear my seatbelt, he’d bust my kneecaps, then that would be blackmail.
I think this is closer to if one lone individual said that every time he saw you not wear a seatbelt (which for some reason a law couldn’t get passed for), he’d nudge gun control legislation closer to being enacted (assuming he knew you’d hate gun control legislation)
No, it’s not. You can’t just pretend that the threat is trivial when it’s not. “You’d hate gun control legislation” is not an appropriate comparison. The utility hit of nudging up the odds of something I’d hate happening is not directly comparable. Given the circumstances and EY’s obvious beliefs, the negative utility value of an FAI is vastly worse.
Comparable would be this: every time he sees me not wear a seatbelt, he rolls 8 dice. If they all come up sixes, he’d hunt down, torture, and murder everyone I know and love. The odds are actually slightly lower, and the negative payoff is vastly smaller in this example, so if anything it’s an understatement (though failing to wear a seatbelt is a much less bad thing to do than censoring someone, so perhaps it balances). I think this is pretty clearly improper.
I think this is closer to if one lone individual said that every time he saw you not wear a seatbelt (which for some reason a law couldn’t get passed for), he’d nudge gun control legislation closer to being enacted (assuming he knew you’d hate gun control legislation)
No, it’s not. You can’t just pretend that the threat is trivial when it’s not. “You’d hate gun control legislation” is not an appropriate comparison. The utility hit of nudging up the odds of something I’d hate happening is not directly comparable. Given the circumstances and EY’s obvious beliefs, the negative utility value of an FAI is vastly worse.
Comparable would be this: every time he sees me not wear a seatbelt, he rolls 8 dice. If they all come up sixes, he’d hunt down, torture, and murder everyone I know and love. The odds are actually slightly lower, and the negative payoff is vastly smaller in this example, so if anything it’s an understatement (though failing to wear a seatbelt is a much less bad thing to do than censoring someone, so perhaps it balances). I think this is pretty clearly improper.