I’ve heard people be somewhat optimistic about this AI guideline from China. They think that this means Beijing is willing to participate in an AI disarmament treaty due to concerns over AI risk.
I’m curious where you’ve seen this. My impression from reading the takes of people working on the governance side of things is that this is mostly being interpreted as a positive sign because it (hopefully) relaxes race dynamics in the US. “Oh, look, we don’t even need to try all that hard, no need to rush to the finish line.” I haven’t seen anyone serious making a claim that this is downstream of any awareness of x-risk concerns, let alone intent to mitigate them.
I’ve only seen vaguely positive vibes from people who needed Google Translate in order to understand it, like this post from Zvi. He comes to the conclusion that “All of that points, once again, to an eager partner in a negotiation.” This isn’t obvious at all. Again, a willingness to regulate nuclear power is not a strong signal for a willingness to participate in nuclear disarmament treaty—all states will eventually have some level of nuclear regulation.
I’m curious where you’ve seen this. My impression from reading the takes of people working on the governance side of things is that this is mostly being interpreted as a positive sign because it (hopefully) relaxes race dynamics in the US. “Oh, look, we don’t even need to try all that hard, no need to rush to the finish line.” I haven’t seen anyone serious making a claim that this is downstream of any awareness of x-risk concerns, let alone intent to mitigate them.
I’ve only seen vaguely positive vibes from people who needed Google Translate in order to understand it, like this post from Zvi. He comes to the conclusion that “All of that points, once again, to an eager partner in a negotiation.” This isn’t obvious at all. Again, a willingness to regulate nuclear power is not a strong signal for a willingness to participate in nuclear disarmament treaty—all states will eventually have some level of nuclear regulation.