Rolling dice a ton of times starts running into problems with short-term memory buffer size and conflation with explicit strategies for managing that limit; it might be more useful to provide a histogram of the results of a hundred die rolls and ask whether it’s a biased die or not.
Though, thinking about this… surely this isn’t an absolute granularity? I mean, even supposing that it’s constant at all. I would expect the minimum size of a detectable probability shift to be proportional to the magnitude of the original probability.
Hrm.
Rolling dice a ton of times starts running into problems with short-term memory buffer size and conflation with explicit strategies for managing that limit; it might be more useful to provide a histogram of the results of a hundred die rolls and ask whether it’s a biased die or not.
Though, thinking about this… surely this isn’t an absolute granularity? I mean, even supposing that it’s constant at all. I would expect the minimum size of a detectable probability shift to be proportional to the magnitude of the original probability.