I am fairly excited about this, even though I think it’s likelihood of working out is low.
Some folk on Astral Codex Ten are noting some previous failed attempts at things kinda-like-this. But, a) this seems to have a fairly different starting goal that other weird projects in this reference class, b) well, the normal odds for a startup succeeding is less than 10%, so the fact that we’ve tried this less than 10 times and it hasn’t worked out yet isn’t much to update on. I think trying things that look superficially similar to this is a big source of expected value.
I am fairly excited about this, even though I think it’s likelihood of working out is low.
Some folk on Astral Codex Ten are noting some previous failed attempts at things kinda-like-this. But, a) this seems to have a fairly different starting goal that other weird projects in this reference class, b) well, the normal odds for a startup succeeding is less than 10%, so the fact that we’ve tried this less than 10 times and it hasn’t worked out yet isn’t much to update on. I think trying things that look superficially similar to this is a big source of expected value.