This is explainable by the fact that the essay is a weird mix of both a call to action to bring about a positive vision of an AI future, combined with it also claiming/predicting some important things of what he thinks AI could do.
He is both importantly doing predictions/model sharing in the essay, and also shaping the prediction/scenario to make the positive vision more likely to be true (more cynically, one could argue that it’s merely a narrative optimized for consumption to the broader public where the essay broadly doesn’t have a purpose of being truth-tracking).
This is explainable by the fact that the essay is a weird mix of both a call to action to bring about a positive vision of an AI future, combined with it also claiming/predicting some important things of what he thinks AI could do.
He is both importantly doing predictions/model sharing in the essay, and also shaping the prediction/scenario to make the positive vision more likely to be true (more cynically, one could argue that it’s merely a narrative optimized for consumption to the broader public where the essay broadly doesn’t have a purpose of being truth-tracking).
It’s a confusing essay, ultimately.