The only thing preventing you from considering all possible hypotheses is lack of brain power. This limited resource should probably be divided among the possible theories in the same ratio that you’re certain about them
Likelyhood is one consideration when determining how much to investigate a possible hypotheses but it isn’t the only consideration. Quite often the ratio of attention should be different to the ratio of credibility.
Likelyhood is one consideration when determining how much to investigate a possible hypotheses but it isn’t the only consideration. Quite often the ratio of attention should be different to the ratio of credibility.